Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.639182 11.149163 12.767789 14.626178 16.694934 18.921189 21.492006
2025-06-29 7.784734 9.761372 12.013268 14.748946 17.961766 21.594244 25.989672
2025-07-06 6.539896 8.785259 11.477548 14.902913 19.101287 24.034442 30.220687
2025-07-13 5.745274 8.196538 11.268183 15.331449 20.490547 26.744871 34.814425
2025-07-20 5.070446 7.647378 11.009054 15.613802 21.644720 29.156371 39.086835
2025-07-27 4.420986 7.036713 10.582957 15.602447 22.368115 31.005476 42.677394
2025-08-03 3.691618 6.217111 9.780404 14.995268 22.229621 31.693616 44.759995
2025-08-10 3.197170 5.673622 9.297760 14.763540 22.542201 32.938334 47.561253
2025-08-17 2.749983 5.144071 8.777471 14.421022 22.653460 33.883301 49.959531
2025-08-24 2.410246 4.741235 8.402497 14.247229 22.968581 35.088262 52.715591
2025-08-31 2.080785 4.312868 7.944716 13.905464 23.003744 35.881618 54.905340
2025-09-07 1.880705 4.081888 7.775277 13.983111 23.642582 37.527677 58.307434
2025-09-14 1.667424 3.803098 7.505957 13.887560 24.018169 38.814438 61.254322
2025-09-21 1.523049 3.634128 7.403858 14.046820 24.779431 40.674163 65.059139
2025-09-28 1.395282 3.480632 7.313069 14.212854 25.549126 42.560207 68.942373
2025-10-05 1.317728 3.418009 7.375632 14.633363 26.729626 45.084484 73.811857
2025-10-12 1.226874 3.315926 7.356506 14.908828 27.682030 47.285169 78.251455
2025-10-19 1.108397 3.138428 7.181403 14.899353 28.164659 48.776563 81.665044
2025-10-26 0.936601 2.815814 6.700332 14.314859 27.667026 48.732919 82.762117
2025-11-02 0.824202 2.612834 6.432229 14.091853 27.754157 49.589203 85.227556
2025-11-09 0.714513 2.398008 6.119072 13.761997 27.637876 50.110773 87.180671
2025-11-16 0.631792 2.237296 5.901563 13.594642 27.787884 51.051785 89.792709
2025-11-23 0.545515 2.051144 5.611065 13.265508 27.634247 51.489672 91.619364